Conversations with Institutional Investors

Investment Innovation Institute [i3]

Conversations with Institutional Investors is your gateway to in-depth discussions with the masterminds behind leading global investment firms, including key figures from pension funds, insurance companies, and sovereign wealth funds. Our podcast explores the evolving landscape of asset allocation, portfolio construction, and investment strategy, offering you firsthand insights from industry experts to inspire smarter, more innovative investment approaches. For further insights go to i3-invest.com. You can also subscribe to our complimentary newsletter at: i3-invest.com/subscribe/

  1. 117: Geopolitics with Alan Dupont – Tech wars, Geoeconomics and the Mag 7

    AUG 18

    117: Geopolitics with Alan Dupont – Tech wars, Geoeconomics and the Mag 7

    In this episode, I'm speaking with Dr Alan Dupont, who is the founder and CEO of Cognoscenti Group. Alan is a highly respected geopolitical strategist and has advised a wide range of governmental and commercial organisations, including the Northern Territory Government, Asia Society, the Australian Strategic Policy Institute and Outcomes Australia. He has advised several Australian ministers of defence and foreign affairs, and in 2013 established and led the Abbott government's defence white paper team. Alan started his career in government, including as an Army officer, intelligence analyst and diplomat. In this episode, we take a look at the geopolitical turmoil around the world and its impact on economies and investment markets. We discuss the disintegration of Pax Americana, where the US had the balance of power since the Second World War. And we look at the redistribution of power around the world, including the potential of non-state actors to play a role. We examine US President Trump's use of tariffs and the dollar as financial weapons, and ask the question whether the performance of The Magnificent Seven is related to the tech war between the US, China and Russia. __________ Follow the Investment Innovation Institute [i3] on Linkedin Subscribe to our Newsletter Explore our library of insights from leading institutional investors at [i3] Insights __________ Overview of Podcast with Dr. Alan Dupont   04:00 Early interest in geopolitics and working with Michael Hinze at CQS 06:00 We are slap bang in the middle of moving from Pax Americana to another system, which is yet to emerge. 08:30 Kondratiev Cycles and why they are important 10:00 Are we moving into the national security era, where security takes primacy over trade and commerce? 13:00 I don’t think we are on the eve of a new world war. Putin is constrained in what he can do. 17:00 The scope of a fruitful relationship with China is limited by the very nature of its system  20:00 If Australia has to choose between the US or China, then we will get a polarised, deglobalised world and we will have to forfeit a lot of economic benefits from globalisation, which are considerable 21:30 There is a technological and financial war going on 23:00 Trump decided to weaponise the dollar for geopolitical reasons 24:30 Geoeconomics: the use of economic and financial power for geopolitical objectives 28:00 Alan, you called the Iran tensions a few days before the rocket launches happened. What gave you this insight? 32:30 China has its nose in most of the key technologies of the future world. But they are not ahead in the most important one: AI 39:30 Is the technology war part of the reason why the Magnificent Seven have performed so strongly in recent years? Full Transcription of Episode 117 Wouter Klijn  00:00 Hello and welcome to the i3 podcast: ‘Conversations with Institutional Investors’. My name is Wouter Klijn, and I’m the Editorial Director for the Investment Innovation Institute. For more information about our educational forums for institutional investors, please visit our website at www.i3-invest.com. That’s the letter i and the number three at invest.com. There, you can also subscribe to our complimentary newsletter. I3 insights in which we discuss investment strategy and asset allocation questions with asset owners from around the world. Now, as you all know, we love our disclaimers in this industry, so here’s ours. This recording is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice and is intended for institutional and wholesale investors only. Please enjoy the show  In this episode, I'm speaking with Dr Alan Dupont, who is the founder and CEO of Cognoscenti Group. Alan is a highly respected geopolitical strategist and has advised a wide range of governmental and commercial organisations, including the Northern Territory Government, Asia Society, the Australian Strategic Policy Institute and Outcomes Australia. He has advised several Australian ministers of defence and foreign affairs, and in 2013 established and led the Abbott government's defence white paper team. Alan started his career in government, including as an Army officer, intelligence analyst and diplomat.  In this episode, we take a look at the geopolitical turmoil around the world and its impact on economies and investment markets. We discuss the disintegration of Pax Americana, where the US had the balance of power since the Second World War. And we look at the redistribution of power around the world, including the potential of non state actors to play a role. We examine US President Trump's use of tariffs and the dollar as financial weapons, and ask the question whether the performance of The Magnificent Seven is related to the tech war between the US, China and Russia. Let's get started. Alan, welcome to the show.   Alan Dupont  02:36 Thanks very much. Wouter, pleasure to be here.    Wouter Klijn  02:40 So I had a little bit of a look at your background, and you have quite a varied background, including starting as an Army officer and intelligence analyst. Is that sort of where your focus on geopolitics today come from? Or is it more related to sort of your study? I think you studied international relations. How does one become a geopolitical strategist?   Alan Dupont  03:06 Well, good question, and actually started probably earlier than you think. I always was interested in global affairs when I was even a student at secondary school, and that flowed through into my time as an intelligence analyst, which really whetted my appetite for international affairs, because I was the Vietnam desk officer, and, you know, I was briefing ministers and involved in high level geopolitics from a very early age. And so I re credentialed myself after I got out of the army, I went back to university and decided this is what I wanted to do for the rest of my life. Then the question was, well, how would I be able to do that and earn a sufficient money to keep in the lifestyle that I wanted? Right? So anyway, it all worked out okay, eventually, with a few detours on the way. Yeah, fair enough. So you have a wide range of advisory roles, also to government. But one thing that stood out for me as well is that you are involved with a hedge fund. Michael Heng says, CQ, s, so there's a bit of an investment angle there. What's What's your role with the hedge fund? Yes, well, the the context is that later in life, I was appointed to the chair at Sydney University, and the chair was funded by Michael hinsey. And when I first met him, I said, Michael, do you understand that this is this is actually national security, not financial security? And he smiled as Yes, as I fully understand that. So that began a sort of a long association with Michael, and then one thing led to another, and he invited me to come on to his advisory group to give a geopolitical dimension to his investment decisions, which was quite path breaking at the time. So I agreed to do that, and I served on that advisory group for nearly 10 years. Learned a lot about investment head. Funds, what they do, and I hopefully they learn something about geopolitics. So that was how it all happened.   Wouter Klijn  05:07 I think CQ s is global macro, isn't it? So it's more of a more in common with geopolitics than than, say, other types of in strategies.   Alan Dupont  05:15 Well, well, Michael would tell you there, there's sort of, it's sort of a multi asset investment platform where geopolitics has taken into the decision making in a way that most other hedge funds don't. But, you know, really, I really think it's on the edges, because it's very hard to find a geopolitical trade, per se. You have to be aware of what's going on the world, but what's the trade? You know, it's quite difficult, so it took us a while to work that one out. But no, no, he's been quite sort of bit of a thought leader in the sense that he has brought the two dimensions together to the benefit of both. You know, so, and I think more and more investment companies platforms are starting to factor in geopolitics now for pretty obvious reasons.   Wouter Klijn  06:03 Yeah, we've seen a lot of developments in that space. And you and I have spoken a little bit over the year about this concept of the end of Pax Americana, the great American Peace, and that there will be a redistribution of powers and potentially multiple power centres coming up, even maybe non state actors. Where are we in that shift away from Pax Americana?   Alan Dupont  06:30 So where? Where we are at the moment is right, slap bang middle in the most disruptive part of this process of moving from one system to another one, which is clearly yet to emerge. So if you look at this historically, there are these great wave cycles that macro cycles that shape history. And every 80 to 100 years or so, the existing system starts to break down, and you get a lot of turbulence and unpredictability, just as we're experiencing now. And the bad news is it often lasts for 10 and 20 years before the new system emerges. So Max taxi, Americana, the American Peace is a system that was set up by the victors of World War Two in 1945 all our institutions and our norms were shaped by essentially United States and the West, and now that's under threat from authoritarian challenges and and even under threat from the US president himself, Donald Trump. I mean, in a way, he's trashing the legacy of his predecessors all the way back to 1945 and he's the guy who's really shaking up taxi Americana and saying, we're not going to be global cop anymore. We're not going to carry the burden for everyone else. We're going to look after ourselves, America first, and the rest of the world has to stand up and do what we've been doing. And you can understand why he's doing that, but that's that's an

    44 min
  2. 116: Igneo Infrastructure Partners' Danny Latham – Infrastructure 2.0, Waste to Energy and Transition Assets

    AUG 4

    116: Igneo Infrastructure Partners' Danny Latham – Infrastructure 2.0, Waste to Energy and Transition Assets

    In this episode of the [i3] podcast, Conversations with Institutional Investors, we speak with Danny Latham, Partner and Head of Australia and New Zealand for Igneo Infrastructure Partners. We discuss the evolution of infrastructure assets, termed "Infrastructure 2.0," which includes renewable energy, digitalisation, and waste management.  Danny highlights the shift from traditional infrastructure to more dynamic, B2B-focused assets, emphasising the importance of cash flow predictability and regulatory risks. He also touches on the role of gas as a transition fuel, the potential of hydrogen, and the integration of water management in infrastructure projects.  Finally, Danny explains his investment strategy, which involves active management, matching up hard assets with good people, and leveraging mid-market opportunities for value creation. Follow the Investment Innovation Institute [i3] on Linkedin Subscribe to our Newsletter Explore our library of insights from leading institutional investors at [i3] Insights  Overview of podcast with Danny Latham, Igneo Infrastructure Partners 02:00 The Four C’s of Lending: capacity, capital, collateral and character 04:00 Funding versus financing; there is plenty of capital in the world, but are people prepared to pay for services and products? 05:30 My first venture into infrastructure was actually a prison in rural Victoria 09:00 Changes in the infrastructure over the last 30 years 13:30 There used to be a perception that these assets looked after themselves 17:00 Infrastructure 1.0 versus 2.0 18:30 Theoretically, infrastructure 1.0 should be a little less risky, but you are trading demand risk for regulatory risk 24:00 Are people taking more risk because of the odd YFYS benchmark? Yes, we are seeing that 26:00 Atmos Renewables, a key example of how Igneo invests 27:00 We’ve moved away from large caps, because we see more opportunities, better bolt-ons and better bilateral deals in the mid-market space 30:00 Today, our focus is on taking ownership stakes of 50 - 100 per cent, so we are driving the bus 35:00 Large, hyperscale data centres today are probably more frothy than other parts of the market 36:30 Australia’s power consumption will double between now and 2050. Where is that power going to come from? The potential conflict between energy transition, decarbonisation, and the reliability and affordability to support growth is a huge thematic across the globe. 38:00 Natural gas does have a long term role as a transition fuel 41:30 In the UK, the last coal-fired power plant has been shut down. In fact, one of the last assets we’ve acquired in the UK was a waste-to-energy asset that is located on an old coal-fired power plant site. 44:00 In a waste-to-energy model, you get paid for your fuel. So it is quite a different model. 46:30 In Australia, we are actually not that good at recycling water. One of our businesses takes wastewater and uses that to water the McLaren Vale wine region. 50:00 Adjacency benefits: Amazon has just bought the plot of land next to our waste-to-energy plant in the UK 54:00 AI and infrastructure; is it all about data centres?   Full Transcript of Episode 116 Wouter Klijn  00:00   Hello and welcome to the i3 podcast: ‘Conversations with Institutional Investors’. My name is Wouter Klijn, and I'm the Editorial Director for the investment Innovation Institute. For more information about our educational forums for institutional investors, please visit our website at www.i3-invest.com. That's the letter i and the number three at invest.com. There, you can also subscribe to our complimentary newsletter. I3 insights in which we discuss investment strategy and asset allocation questions with asset owners from around the world. Now, as you all know, we love our disclaimers in this industry, so here's ours. This recording is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice and is intended for institutional and wholesale investors only. Please enjoy the show   This episode of The i3 podcast was sponsored by Igneo Infrastructure Partners. As such, the sponsor may make suggestions for topics, but final control over the podcast remains with the investment Innovation Institute.    Welcome to Episode 116, of the [i3] Podcast, Conversations with Institutional investors. In this episode, I'm speaking with Danny Latham, who is a partner and head of Australia and New Zealand for Igneo Infrastructure Partners, a manager that's owned by First Sentier Group. Danny and I are discussing the new wave of infrastructure assets, also referred to as Infrastructure 2.0. What is this and how does it fit in with an existing portfolio of assets? Are they riskier than traditional core assets, and what's their return profile? We take a look at assets such as waste to energy in the UK, where Amazon has just bought a plot next to Igneo's plant, we will discuss gas as a longer term transition asset and the national security aspects of it. Finally, we talked about capturing and repurposing wastewater and of course, AI, please enjoy the show.   Danny, welcome to the show.   Danny Latham  02:26 Thank you very much.   Wouter Klijn  02:27 So tell me a little bit about your background before we get into all the details of the deals and the pipes and everything. Why investing and why particular infrastructure?   Danny Latham  02:37 Sure. Yeah. So thank you. Thank you for the opportunity to be here. So in some respects, sort of my, my journey to infrastructure really started with, I guess my first exposure to the investment industry was more in mortgage securitization, okay, so back in the sort of the early 90s. So yeah, been around a little while, and so as part of that sort of evolution. So been involved in sort of a lot of the, I guess, a lot of the foundations around, sort of credit analysis and the like and, and I guess, sort of some of those learnings for being sort of good stead for, I guess, sort of the subsequent career in infrastructure. And I guess, sort of some of those principles around, if you like the four C’s of lending,   Wouter Klijn The four C's?   Danny Latham  The four C's, yeah, so capacity, capital, collateral and character.   Wouter Klijn Okay, so last one is a bit different than the first three?   Danny Latham  Absolutely. And I think this is sort of a, I think it's probably an hour, an area that's sort of less focused on. But when it comes to investment, investing, whether it be in the public markets or the private markets, a lot runs, we are still fundamentally a people business. And so as part of that people business, character becomes important, right? So who are you dealing with? Who are you backing? What are their values? What are their ideals, in terms of, sort of managing money as part of that fiduciary responsibility, in terms of whether it be in the infrastructure world, about or even in my previous life, in the mortgage securitization world, is, if you lend someone money, are they going to pay it back?   Wouter Klijn  04:20 Yeah, yeah. It's kind of important. What about the other three C's?   Danny Latham    04:29 Yeah. Well, I think that is actually a very direct correlation across to sort of investing in all its guises. So it's understanding where the cash flows are coming from the variability of those cash flows, the capacity of the business to to pay. And this is sort of, I touch on, sort of in other aspects, but it's also about this sort of financing versus funding sort of ability. So I think, as a general rule, there's plenty of money out there to. Finance things. But in a cost of living pressured world, are people prepared to pay for the for the services and the products, and whether it be infrastructure, whether it be anything, so that's sort of that, I think that that funding capacity is often sort of under, under appreciated and and so it doesn't matter what you put into a model you need to under underpin that was sort of saying, what is the partly comes back to the character, what is the ability and propensity of people to pay?   Wouter Klijn  05:32 Yeah, yeah. So we'll go a bit deeper into the investment process later on as well. But do you still remember your first infrastructure deal?   Danny Latham    05:42 I do actually, and and essentially. So if I sort of segue from my journey from sort of mortgage securitization, yeah, into infrastructure. Mortgage securitization was great, and was lending, it was getting people into houses and so forth. But fundamentally it was, it was sort of just financing, yeah, and so for me, I guess intuitively, it was about sort of what's what's more real, and infrastructure became something that is more real. And so I grew up on a farm. My dad was a builder, so a lot of my sort of upbringing was about real stuff. Yeah, yeah, tangible stuff. So that sort of segued into, sort of my, my jumping from sort of financing, which was a little bit less real, into something much more real and tangible. And my first opportunity, as I sort of looked at the as I jumped into that sort of infrastructure space, was actually a social infrastructure asset in in rural Victoria, basically the sale of a prison. So, so a very atypical journey into, sort of jumping into that sort of infrastructure space. But then sort of that was sort of a more of a lending type deal, the real big sort of infrastructure. First asset was the Melbourne City Link deal, where it was, it sort of quite interesting this sort of, we were the, we were the underbidder to what became Transurban, yeah, sort of way back there in the in the 90s. So, so that was sort of the, if you like, that, sort of that start of definitely something real in the context of of a new build toll road, in a fundamental piece of infrastructure in Victoria. Yeah.   Wouter Klijn  07:32 So how do you go from mortgages to a prison, which is a f

    1h 1m
  3. 115: Gain Line Analytics' Ben Darwin – Performance Analytics, Team Cohesion and The Wallabies

    JUL 14

    115: Gain Line Analytics' Ben Darwin – Performance Analytics, Team Cohesion and The Wallabies

    Ben Darwin is the Co-founder and General Manager of Corporate at Gain Line Analytics and in this episode we're going to take a look at what makes teams successful and stay successful. Ben is a former Wallaby player, having played 28 test matches for Australia. He's a former coach and a performance analyst, having worked with a number of rugby teams, including a Japanese team, the NTT Shining Arcs and Suntory Sungoliath, he started Gain Line in 2013 out of a desire to introduce a greater degree of empirical analysis into professional sports.  But his research goes broader than just sports, it also goes into the dynamics of professional teams across industries and the cultures they foster. In this podcast, we're looking at how this has implications for investment teams and also for super fund organisations.   Overview of Podcast with Ben Darwin, Gain Line Analytics   03:00 I was always interested in Australian sports punching above its weight 05:00 I realised that my efforts as a coach did not necessarily have any influence on the outcomes 08:30 We would find that teams that didn’t buy new talent and held on to the players they didn’t want did better 11:50 Attribution bias, we overly attribute performance to the individual 13:00 With cohesion, I’m trying to measure the attributes that drive people’s understanding of each other 14:00 We all misattribute what change does 18:30 When people try to make things better, they usually make things less cohesive 20:30 The dangers of growing organisations (super funds) too quickly 23:30 Growth is really hard 27:00 Cohesion is not the same as culture 37:30 Is it possible to build cohesion in a team with a high level of turnover? 44:00 The tumble down effect: one change causes more changes, which causes even more changes 48:30 Cohesion can drop 50% in a week, but it can’t grow 50% in a week. It grows maybe five per cent a year 52:00 My experience is that economies of scale are vastly overrated 1:05:00 Often we are dealing with a competent person who works in a structure that makes them look like they are incompetent 1:06:00 Building interpersonal trust is great, developing clarity is better   Follow the Investment Innovation Institute [i3] on Linkedin Subscribe to our Newsletter Explore our library of insights from leading institutional investors at [i3] Insights Full Transcription of Episode 115 Wouter Klijn  00:00 Hello and welcome to the [i3] podcast, conversations with institutional investors. My name is Wouter Klijn, and I'm the director of content for the investment Innovation Institute. For more information about our educational forums for institutional investors, please visit our website at www.i3-invest.com There, you can also subscribe to our complimentary newsletter, [i3] Insights, in which we discuss investment strategy and asset allocation questions with asset owners from around the world. Now, as you all know, we love our disclaimers in this industry, so here's ours. This recording is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice and is intended for institutional and wholesale investors only. Please enjoy the show. Welcome to the [i3] podcast, conversations with institutional investors. I'm here today with Ben Darwin, who is the co founder and general manager of corporate at Gain Line Analytics. And today's topic is a little bit different from our normal investment focus podcast, because we're going to take a look at what makes teams successful and stay successful. So Ben is a former Wallaby having played 28 Test matches for Australia. He's a former coach and a performance analyst, having worked with a number of rugby teams, including a Japanese team, the NTT shining arcs and Centauri Sun Goliath, he started gain line in 2013 out of a desire to introduce a greater degree of empirical analysis into professional sports. But as research goes broader than just sports, it also goes into the dynamics of professional teams across industries and the cultures they foster. So in this podcast, we're going to have a look at how this has implications for investment teams and also for super fund organisations. So Ben, welcome to the show.   Ben Darwin  02:21 Thank you so much.   Wouter Klijn  02:22 So tell me a little bit about the origin story behind gameline. I just mentioned why you started it, but can you tell us a little bit about the history of it?   Ben Darwin  02:31 I suppose I have to begin in a way, and I apologise to go back, but with my own history in that not being Australian and coming from the UK, I always sort of had a bit of a always felt like a bit of an outsider in my view of the world and becoming sort of, then part of Australian Rugby. I was always confused by this idea of, like, people say to me, you know, I go to the UK. Oh, geez. They breed them big in Australia. Actually, I was born in crew in the Midlands, like, I'm not even from Australia. And they would say, you know, you Australians, you're so good at sport and things, and I'd be like, I don't, I don't quite understand why. And so I was always interested by this idea about Australian sport punching above its weight, and why rugby particularly punched above its weight, and also why countries like England or France for that matter, or just generally, larger countries would would have all the resources in the world and not necessarily be as successful. And I remember a particular phrase by Peter Fitzsimons talking about England coming out to play, and thinking, is this the best they can put together? Because with, you know, they've they have a million rugby players. For example, in England, Ruffin, I think we have 60,000 so it's like, how's it, how's this taking place? So as a player coming into that environment, I was a little bit confused by it. And then you become, you know, one of the problems with sport is we all see things. So magically, we all see and we, you know, we see individuals as heroes, and not sort of think of them as everyday people. So you then sort of become part of that environment, and you meet the coaches, and you meet people as part of the system, and think, well, like, how is this successful? It doesn't, doesn't make sense. And not that people aren't talented, but the people you're up against being just as talented, if not more, talented, and not understanding why. So then I became a then I became a coach, because I had a spinal injury 2003 so I got very young into coaching, and the first club I was ever a part of, I don't think I won a game as a coach, so I'm like, Okay, I'm a terrible coach. And then I went to another club, which was the Western Force, which was a startup team, and we didn't win anything. And then I went to Japan and didn't lose for two years. Then I come back and coach somewhere else and win there. And then I coached again in Japan and didn't lose. And thinking, okay, maybe it's just me in Japan, but then I'd have other teams in Australia to do well or poorly. So I began to understand that that my influence on a team was sometimes good, sometimes bad, but that didn't necessarily lead to outcomes, and I've got so probably my worst coaching I ever did was in a team that did not lose the whole year. So my son. I was trying to derail them, and almost did derail them, to be honest, but they won despite me. And once you bounce around enough organisations, you start to kind of see some causality around performance. And sometimes teams win with good coaches. Sometimes they win despite good coaches. Sometimes they lose with good coaches. You talk to enough people with enough experience, they'll tend to tell you the same thing. So the last team I was part of, from a coaching perspective, I also became a data analyst, and that was the Melbourne rebels, and that one of the questions they asked me was after two years, because we spent a lot more than the market. We basically spent double what the market had in terms of talent, but we didn't win a lot of games. And so the question came up for me as an analyst, how long is it gonna take for us to win? So that question led me down this path, and I did one more stint, sorry, approaching at Suntory, like I said, and I came back to Australia and basically started the business because I didn't want to work in sport anymore, because I could not control the outcomes at all. Yeah, the team that last job I had as a coach, I was literally fired after we went undefeated. So I'm like, okay, bugger this. I could this is not working. So gameline is basically a consultancy company because then, because you see a lot of people in sport, when they lose their jobs, or in business, they become a consultant to kind of fill the time. This is basically that option. It's just gotten out of hand, but it's a stock gap that's gotten out of hand now for 13 years.   Wouter Klijn  06:28 Yeah, it's got out of hand in a good way.   Ben Darwin  06:30 Yeah, in a good way. So that's kind of how I arrived that point. But the original idea for the business was actually not cohesion analytics, as we call it. It was actually something entirely different, which was a model whereby clubs would come to us, and we would tell them who was, who was off contract. And the way I arrange the data is I always arrange the data visually so I could just easily find a player, and I arranged them by team, but I would couple all the all the players in that team together, and then I would notice contractual changes year to year between teams. And there was one particular team that that basically came to us and said, We want to gut the whole team. Can you help us find new players? And we tried to help them do that. And then they came back and said, We're really sorry. The owners got financial problems. We have to keep the players we don't want. So we knew what they wanted and didn't want, and it wasn't what they had they didn't want. And

    1h 8m
  4. 114: Bellmont Securities' Michael Block – The Michael Block Roadmap to Investing

    JUN 30

    114: Bellmont Securities' Michael Block – The Michael Block Roadmap to Investing

    Michael Block is Chief Investment Officer of Bellmont Securities and Adjunct Industry Professor at the University of Technology Sydney (UTS), where he helped establish the UTS Anchor Fund. The UTS Anchor Fund is a live investment portfolio managed by students to give them hands on experience with managing portfolios. In this episode, we take a look at Michael's extensive career in investing, spanning roles with Future Plus, Nambawan Super, Australian Catholic Superannuation & Retirement Fund and now Bellmont Securities, and discuss the lessons learned during this time and how you can condense this experience in a course for students. We talk investment theory & philosophy, impact of regulations, meeting your investment heroes and the Michael Block Roadmap to investing. Enjoy the Show! Overview of podcast with Michael Block 02:00 I’m just a nerd with a PC, interested in investments 05:30 I once was an analyst working for the government looking at money laundering, where I saw the bust of a bikie gang and they confiscated a live alligator 08:00 The greatest accolade I can have is that the people I’ve [mentored] are now achieving in the outside world 09:00 Getting involved with the UTS Anchor fund 11:00 The UTS Anchor fund helps students ‘from go to woah!’ 13:00 The Graveyard of Good Ideas – There are many good ideas that super funds can’t do 16:00 A super fund of the future will look massive and passive 17:00 Changes in the wealth space can be glacially slow 20:00 There will never be another super fund that fails the [YFYS] performance test again, because they will never take enough risk for that to occur 26:00 The Michael Block roadmap: 1 Set an age appropriate SAA 27:00 Funds that don’t believe in lifecycle just want to put everybody into a balanced fund. That is lazy 28:30 The Michael Block roadmap: 2 Only move away from the SAA under extreme circumstances 30:00 The Michael Block roadmap: 3 Decide when to be active and when to be passive 35:00 Your time horizon is what matters; LTCM became insolvent but was ultimately proven right 40:00 Super funds are faced with an activity bias 42:00 I rather be vaguely right, then precisely wrong 44:00 I’m a purist so I believe there are only two asset classes: equities and bonds 48:00 Mean/variance optimisation is like driving in a car looking only in the rearview mirror 55:00 On Jeremy Grantham and other heroes __________ Follow the Investment Innovation Institute [i3] on Linkedin Subscribe to our Newsletter Explore our library of insights from leading institutional investors at [i3] Insights  The [i3] podcast is available on Apple Podcast, Spotify, Amazon Music, YouTube Music, or your favourite podcast platform.

    59 min
  5. 113: FCLT's Eduard van Gelderen – Long Term Investing, Concentrated Portfolios and Decarbonisation

    JUN 4

    113: FCLT's Eduard van Gelderen – Long Term Investing, Concentrated Portfolios and Decarbonisation

    Eduard van Gelderen is Head of Research for Focusing Capital on the Long Term (FCLT), an organisation that was established in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis, or Great Recession as it is known in the US, to move away from a so-called “quarterly capitalism”, which arguably contributed to the crisis, and towards a true long-term mind-set. Van Gelderen joined FCLT in 2024, after spending over six years as the Chief Investment Officer of pension fund PSP in Montreal, Canada. He is also well-known for his role as CEO of APG Asset Management, the investment arm of pension behemoth APG, in the Netherlands. In episode 113 of “Conversations with Institutional Investors”, Van Gelderen discusses whether private equity can be a model for long term investing, dealing with concentration in portfolios, decarbonisation and the rise of A.I. Enjoy the Show! Overview of podcast with Eduard van Gelderen, FCLT 03:00 In 2026, FCLT celebrates its 10 year anniversary 04:00 When I was CEO of APG AM, we became one of the first members of FCLT 05:00 Three things are important to me: innovation, strategic thinking and having an impact 07:00 Dominic Barton of McKenzie and Keith Ambachtsheer and long term investing 08:00 If corporates are too short-term focused, then they will not invest enough in truly value generating projects 11:30 I do like the private equity model, but they still look to exit in about five years. Is that really long-term investing? 13:00 One of the nice things to see when I moved to Canada is the difference in board composition 17:00 Is passive investing leading to fragmented ownership and therefore less stakeholder engagement? 18:00 If you really understand the business models of the companies you invest in, then you can be much more concentrated and still be diversified 20:00 Diversification is possible, not with a small number [of assets], but definitely with a more limited number of names than the index 23:30 Sectors that are carbon intensive will need to do something or they will be punished, weather it is by governments, or regulators. For investors this means there is a financial reality here 24:00 But at this point the carbon price is too low for investors to make a decision 25:00 If I diversify over different sectors, then I need to use the less intensive sectors to hedge what I do in the carbon intensive sectors. That is a portfolio construction question 26:00 Stranded business models: It has happened before. The ones that reacted to all the opportunities that the internet offered became the winners, but there were certainly companies that completely missed the boat. I’m convinced that we are going through the same cycle again. 29:00 I don’t think A.I. is just a toy; I think it is going to disrupt a lot of things that we take for granted 31:30 How will A.I. impact the business model of an investment manager? There will be operational efficiencies, but where managers are not yet very advanced is about ‘How can we do advanced analytics?’ And it is not just about alpha generation, it is also about portfolio construction, risk management and trading 35:30 I do think we need to rethink diversification in the current uncertain environment 39:00 Upcoming research projects: future fit boards and proxy voting  43:00 I truly believe that public and private markets will merge at some point; it is really a data issue Follow the Investment Innovation Institute [i3] on Linkedin Subscribe to our Newsletter Explore our library of insights from leading institutional investors at [i3] Insights

    45 min
  6. 112: Fulcrum's Suhail Shaikh – Absolute Return Investing, Market Timing and The Role of Luck

    APR 29

    112: Fulcrum's Suhail Shaikh – Absolute Return Investing, Market Timing and The Role of Luck

    Suhail Shaikh is Chief Investment Officer of Fulcrum Asset Management and is the portfolio manager of Fulcrum’s Discretionary Macro and Diversified Absolute Return strategies. In today’s incredibly volatile environment of tariff wars and deglobalisation, investors tend to be more sensitive about the level of their absolute returns, than their performance against the benchmark. In this episode, we delve into the philosophy of absolute return investing, we talk about the role of skill versus luck, the use of Nowcasting, learnings from the COVID-19 pandemic and the ever controversial topic of market timing. Enjoy the show! 02:00 Started off working on the intranet and taught myself HTML 02:30 Internship at Goldman Sachs 03:30 A lot of well-known global macro traders made their money during equity market crashes 05:00 If you are constantly looking for the next accident, then 90 per cent of the time you are wrong. It is important to make money while the sun is still shining 10:00 Crisis risk offset and momentum during COVID 13:30 Leaving the model aside 15:00 Using Nowcasting for analysis 18:30 AI has been more useful to us in portfolio construction, risk management, scenario analysis and stress testing. I’m more sceptical about AI being helpful in alpha generation. 22:30 Behavioural finance and Fulcrum paper: ‘Don’t Bet the Ranch’ 23:30 To determine whether someone is skilled or lucky, look at the number of views they take over time 31:30 Sizing [trades] is a complex topic 33:00 The role of dynamic asset allocation 34:00 “The biggest accidents in asset management happen when, in a draw-down, people don’t know whether they are benchmarked or absolute return” 35:00 “Dynamic asset allocation is market timing” 40:00 Global Macro and the Magnificent Seven 42:00 Bitcoin and momentum strategies 44:30 Some clients explicitly prohibit us from investing in Bitcoin The paper "Don't Bet The Ranch: Hit ratios, asymmetry and breadth" can be found at: https://fulcrumasset.com/insights/investment-insights/dont-bet-the-ranch-hit-ratios-asymmetry-and-breadth/ Follow the Investment Innovation Institute [i3] on Linkedin Subscribe to our Newsletter Explore our library of insights from leading institutional investors at [i3] Insights

    47 min
  7. 110: Allspring Global Investment's Jamie Newton – Is Now The Time to Add Duration?

    MAR 4

    110: Allspring Global Investment's Jamie Newton – Is Now The Time to Add Duration?

    In episode 110 of the [i3] Podcast, we speak with Jamie Newton, Head of Global Fixed Income Research and Deputy Head of Sustainability at Allspring Global Investments. We discuss why now is a good time to add duration to fixed income portfolios, concerns over the lack of experience with high default rates in private credit and opportunities in data centres and other digital assets. Enjoy the Show! Overview of Podcast with Jamie Newton: 02:00 I was not going to spend 16 weeks looking through a microscope 04:00 I grew up in the go-go days of the internet 05:30 Is 2025 the year of Riding the Curve? 08:00 US Economy: ‘All in, we’re okay’ 09:00 Will we ever see 19pc mortgage rates again? Highly unlikely 11:00 Recession: I think the risk has increased a little bit 12:30 Do leading indicators lag too much in today’s fast moving world? 13:30 We like ABS in general, especially in USD assets 15:00 FI opportunities in data centres and fiber assets 17:00 Concentration is not so much an issue, as there is a limit to upside in FI 20:00 Artificial intelligence and fixed income 21:30 Popularity of Private credit 22:30 Lack of experience with defaults is absolutely a concern 26:30 Green bonds 28:00 Thoughts on the Australian market Follow the Investment Innovation Institute [i3] on Linkedin Subscribe to our Newsletter Explore our library of insights from leading institutional investors at [i3] Insights

    31 min

    Ratings & Reviews

    4.6
    out of 5
    13 Ratings

    About

    Conversations with Institutional Investors is your gateway to in-depth discussions with the masterminds behind leading global investment firms, including key figures from pension funds, insurance companies, and sovereign wealth funds. Our podcast explores the evolving landscape of asset allocation, portfolio construction, and investment strategy, offering you firsthand insights from industry experts to inspire smarter, more innovative investment approaches. For further insights go to i3-invest.com. You can also subscribe to our complimentary newsletter at: i3-invest.com/subscribe/

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